US Economic Indicators: Latest 6 Months Data-Feb 9

US Economic Indicators: Latest 6 Months Data-Feb 9
Forecasts based on the projections from 10 economists as of Monday,
Feb 9. NA = not available. E = estimate. R = revised. **** = tentative.

--Forecast--
Date Indicators :Median : Jan Dec Nov Oct Sep Aug
02/10 Wholesale Inv: : 435.0 437.7R 442.9 444.5
02/10 % change : -0.8: -0.6 -1.2R -0.4 0.6
02/10 Invty-Sales: : 1.25 1.16 1.12 1.10
02/11 Trade Balnce : -35.0: -40.4 -56.7R -56.6 -58.9
02/11 Goods Balnce: NA : -52.4 -69.0R -69.5 -71.1
02/11 Imports : : 183.2 208.2R 211.7 224.5
02/11 Exports : : 142.8 151.5R 155.1 165.6
02/11 Trsy Budget : -85.0: -83.6 -164.4 -237.2 45.7R -111.9
02/12 Unemply Clms : 618:[1/31 626 [1/24 591R ] [1/17 585]
02/12 Retail Sales : : 343.2 352.6 360.3R 373.0 362.0
02/12 % change : -0.8: -2.7 -2.1 -3.7R -7.4 -0.7
02/12 Ex-Auto : : 284.2 293.2 300.7R 309.7 302.1
02/12 % change : -0.4: -3.1 -2.5 -3.0R -0.5 -1.1
02/12 Busin Invty : : 1,485 1,496R 1,505 1,511
02/12 % change : -1.0: -0.7 -0.8R 0.4 0.2
02/12 % mfg chg : : -0.3 -0.6R -1.4 0.7
02/18 Hsg Starts : NA : 0.550 0.651 0.767R 0.824 0.854
02/18 % change : : -15.5 -15.1 -6.9R -3.5 -10.0
02/18 Permits : NA : 0.549 0.615 0.730 0.805 0.857
02/18 % change : : -10.7 -15.8 -9.3 -6.1 -8.5
02/18 Industl Prod : : 103.6 105.7 107.1R 105.2 109.8
02/18 % change : NA : -2.0 -1.3 1.8R -4.2 -1.3
02/18 Capacty Util: NA : 73.6 75.2 76.3R 75.0 78.3
02/19 PPI : : 168.8 172.1 177.3 182.0 182.1
02/19 % change : NA : -1.9 -2.2 -2.8 -0.4 -0.9
02/19 % 12-mo chg: : -1.1 0.4 5.2 8.7 9.6
02/19 PPI Core : : 170.5 170.4 170.4 167.9 167.3
02/19 % change : NA : 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2
02/19 LEI : : 99.5 99.0 99.4 100.3 100.3
02/19 % change : NA : 0.3 -0.4 -0.9 0.0 -0.9
02/20 CPI : : 210.2 212.4 216.6 218.8 219.1
02/20 % change : NA : -0.7 -1.7 -1.0 0.0 -0.1
02/20 % 12-mo chg: : 0.1 1.1 3.7 4.9 5.4
02/20 CPI Core : : 216.1 216.7 217.0 216.9 216.5
02/20 % change : NA : 0.0 0.0 -0.1 0.1 0.2
02/20 Real Earnings: : 0.6 2.6 1.2R 0.0 0.6
02/24 Pre Stl Imp : : -11.4 -24.4 1.5 24.5 -17.4
02/24 Cnsmr Confid : NA : 37.7 38.6 44.7 38.8 61.4 58.5
02/25 Exist Hm Sls : NA : 4.74 4.45 4.91R 5.14 4.91
02/25 % change : : 6.5% -9.4% -4.5R 4.7 -2.2
02/26 Durable Gds : : 176.8 181.5 188.5R 206.0 206.1
02/26 % change : NA : -2.6 -3.7 -8.5R 0.0 -5.5
02/26 NonDef Captl: : 57.0 60.5 63.5R 67.9 68.7
02/26 % change : : -5.9 -4.6 -6.5R -1.1 -7.8
02/26 S/F Home Sls : NA : 331 388 406R 434R 448
02/26 % change : : -14.7% -4.4% -6.5R -3.1R -11.3
02/27 GDP Annual % : NA :[Q4 08 -3.8 [Q3 08 -0.5][Q2 08 2.8]
02/27 Final Sales%: NA :[Q4 08 -9.4 [Q3 08 2.2][Q2 08 5.7]
02/27 PCE Defltr % NA :[Q4 08 -3.5 [Q3 08 -3.8 ][Q2 08 1.2]
02/27 Prc Defltr %: NA :[Q4 08 -0.3 [Q3 08 3.9][Q2 08 1.3]
02/27 Chnd Wt Prc%: :[Q4 08 -0.1 [Q3 08 3.9][Q2 08 1.1]
02/27 Corp Profit%: :[Q3 08 -0.5R [Q2 08 -3.8][Q1 08 1.1]
03/02 Personal Inc : : 12,093 12,118 12,162R 12,173 12,164
03/02 % change : NA : -0.2 -0.4 0.1R 0.0 0.3
03/02 PCE : : 9,836 9,938 10,016R 10,132 10,176
03/02 % change : NA : -1.0 -0.8 -1.1R -0.4 -0.1
03/02 ISM : NA : 35.6 32.9 36.2 38.9 43.5 49.9
03/02 Employment : : 29.9 29.9 34.2 34.6 41.8 49.7
03/02 Prices : : 29.0 18.0 25.5 37.0 53.5 77.0
03/02 Constrcn Spd : : 1053.7 1068.8 1082.3R 1089.4 1085.7
03/02 % change : NA : -1.4 -1.2 -0.7R 0.3 2.4
03/05 Prod & Costs%: NA :[Q4 08 3.1 [Q3 08 1.7R ][Q2 08 3.7]
03/05 Unit Labor%: NA :[Q4 08 1.5 [Q3 08 2.5R ][Q2 08 0.1]
03/05 Factory Ords : : 362.4 377.2 403.3 431.5 443.2
03/05 % change : NA : -3.9 -6.5 -6.0 -3.1 -4.3
03/05 Unfill Order: : 801.9 812.9 820.7 828.2 826.5
03/05 % change : : -1.4 -0.9 -0.9 0.2 0.3
03/06 Jobless Rate : NA : 7.6 7.2 6.8 6.6 6.2 6.1
03/06 Jobs (chg) : : -598 -577 -597 -380R -403 -127
03/06 Pvt (chg) : : -604 -567 -601 -384R -384 -139
03/06 Manuf(chg): : -207 -162 -121 -119R -69 -61
03/06 Factory hrs : : 2.9 3.0 3.2 3.5 3.5 3.7
03/06 Avg Hr % chg: NA : 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.6R 0.2 0.4
03/06 Consumr Crdt : : 2562.3 2568.9 2,580R 2581.7 2581.2
03/06 change : NA : -6.6 -11.0 -1.8R 6.8 -6.3
03/18 Current Acct : :[Q3 08 -$183.1 [Q2 08 -180.9R ][Q1 08 -175.640]
04/30 ECI : NA :[Q4 08 0.5 [Q3 08 0.7][Q2 08 0.7]
04/30 ECI Annual : NA :[Q4 08 2.6 [Q3 08 2.9][Q2 08 3.1]
-By Rodney Christian; Dow Jones Newswires; 202-646-1880;
csstat@dowjones.com
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